Tennessee Titans fans shouldn't overthink the idea of drafting Joe Alt

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Trading down is high risk, low reward

At 7, the Tennessee Titans have a real chance to get a guy that everyone either loves or really likes, so why get greedy just because someone waves a third-round pick in front of you?

People will argue that you want more lottery tickets because you could land two stars if you turn one pick into two picks, but how often do third-round picks turn out to be stars? In fact, how often do third-round picks turn into players who get a second contract with their team?

If Marvin Harrison Jr. or Malik Nabers falls into the Titans laps, fans will be thrilled to have them on the roster and they absolutely should be thrilled because that would give the Titans one of the best trio of receivers in the NFL. Even though this is a deep and talented class of receivers, no one is advocating trading down and drafting a receiver while they pass on Marvin Harrison Jr. or Malik Nabers.

Could a trade-down work? Absolutely. The Titans could trade down and get lucky enough that their guy (whoever that is) falls into their lap and then they stumble into great values at 38 and with the third-round pick that they add.

Is it likely to work? Absolutely not. It is very hard for a GM to hit on all of their top-100 picks and you are much more likely to hit on one, maybe two of those players. In reality, trading down doesn't make the Titans draft class stronger, it makes it riskier. If Ran Carthon trades down then his career is going to be judged by all of the players he could have had with the 7th pick unless he crushes his new pick.