Tennessee Titans have unique cap situation among AFC South teams

What the numbers say the Tennessee Titans need to do in free agency.

The Tennessee Titans have some big free agents coming up this offseason, but they also seem to have the cap to retain most if not all of them.

This is a unique situation in the AFC South and that is explained best in a graph that I will post just a little further down in this article.

I think we all know at this point that the Titans free agency plans will hinge on what they do at home with Ryan Tannehill, Derrick Henry and Jack Conklin all set up to be free agents.

A really interesting way to look at that is in terms of “snaps lost”. So while it isn’t a perfect snap shot of the talent the Titans could lose, it does show just how much the players they could lose would mean to the on the field product.

Again, there are some flaws like Jeffery Simmons playing fewer snaps than Kamalei Correa, but it would obviously be a bigger loss to lose Simmons than Correa.

Anyway, let’s look at this before we talk about why the Titans are so unique.

So the TL;DR version of that is:

–Tennessee Titans will be active in free agency: Have more money than most to spend (even without cuts that would push them much closer to where the Bucs are), but they more snaps to lose.

–Jacksonville Jaguars will have to cut people: They aren’t losing many snaps but they have a terrible cap situation.

–Houston Texans won’t be active in free agency: They aren’t losing many starters, but they don’t have a lot of money. (The secret here is that they are going to have to pay Deshaun Watson and Laremy Tunsil somewhere between $50-$60 million per year by the end of 2021).

–Indianapolis Colts will be active in free agency: With no real talent locked down long term on that roster and with no one set to leave they could have a complete makeover.

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So of the four AFC South teams, only two will be able to spend money in free agency. While the Colts are going to have to attempt to buy a team (never a good idea) the Titans are in the unique situation of having a team in place that now they have to decide who they want to keep and who they want to let walk.

If they really wanted to they could keep all four of their big free agents, but if they want to try and get better in free agency they can pick whether they value positions like OT and CB more than positions like EDGE, or vice versa.

That is great news for Jon Robinson because for as tough as these decisions will be, he is going to have the decision on whether he wants to be bold and add a few pieces in free agency or just trust the draft process and bring the key people back.