Don’t over think this Tennessee Titans.
Right now the Oakland Raiders are publicly dropping hints that they would jump on a 1st round pick for Amari Cooper, but I think the Tennessee Titans could get him for less.
If I were to guess, unless a team like the Patriots, Chiefs, Rams, or Ravens fall in love with Cooper then a 2nd is the highest offer they will get.
If that is the case, then the Tennessee Titans should absolutely trade for Cooper.
First of all, the only way they should do this is with an extension agreed on before hand. So something like this would be great:
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3 years, $42 million, $18 million guaranteed
That may look familiar because it is the exact contract that Allen Robinson got this offseason from the Bears.
The contract is that small because I think both teams would want a “prove it” type deal to start with the Titans. At 24, he could easily sign a deal after that a 27 that was plenty lucrative.
On the other hand, it is that much because he is already scheduled to make $14 million GTD next year because of his 5th year option. This would make him easier to cut/trade later if things don’t work out.
Another reason it is that expensive is because…well he is really good. Look at these two tweets:
I will leave you with this - Here is the list of 3,000 yard guys since 2015 at WR. Find for me the player who is NOT worth a 2nd round pick. That is what production costs. Now, add in this particular guy is 24. pic.twitter.com/sY9g4kqA0G
— Bob Sturm (@SportsSturm) October 18, 2018
Acquiring a 24-year-old, two-time Pro-Bowler is a waste now. Got it. https://t.co/E6lTXXJXer
— John Owning (@JohnOwning) October 18, 2018
I mean honestly, how many 2nd round picks in the last few years have been worth what you could get out of Amari Cooper.
Look at the Titans 2nd round picks over the last decade:
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2008: Jason Jones, DT
2009: Sen’Derrick Marks, DT
2010: None
2011: Akeem Ayers, LB
2012: Zach Brown, LB
2013: Justin Hunter, WR
2014: Bishop Sankey, RB
2015: Dorial Green-Beckham, WR
2016: Kevin Dodd, EDGE, Austin Johnson, DT, Derrick Henry RB
2017: None
2018: Harold Landry, EDGE
How many of those players are worth Amari Cooper? MAYBE Landry if he continues to develop into a talented speed rusher.
Alright, so that means that 10% of the time a 2nd round pick may become what Amari Cooper is worth now?
To me it is a no brainer. For an offense that has nothing going right now, why not make a move and add a 24 year old WR who has been to the Pro Bowl twice. He and Corey Davis should be a talented combo for the next three years easily.
With plenty of cap space over the next few years the Titans should have the money, especially with Marcus Mariota not doing anything to force them to make a big deal now.
So what is the realistic downside? You end up paying a little extra for a young, talented WR2 who has star potential while you have Corey Davis, Taywan Taylor and Tajae Sharpe all on cheap deals?
That doesn’t seem too bad to me and the upside is that you get a star WR that is a constant mismatch for defenses.