Tennessee Titans could face near impossible task going forward
By Will Lomas
Things could look grim for the Tennessee Titans after this weekend.
I am writing this as someone who critically analyzes football and as a Tennessee Titans fan, the Titans are in deep trouble.
It is hard to accept the fact that an entire NFL season can be broken down into likelihoods and statistics, but sometimes it does work that way. Even when we don’t like what the numbers say, you have to respect their historical accuracy.
Going 0-2 isn’t a death sentence, but it has meant an early end of the season for nearly 90% of NFL teams over the last 10 years. Look at this quote from Oddsshark:
"“Since 2007, 91 teams have started 0-2. Only 10 (10.9 percent) of them turned it around to make the playoffs and one of those (the 2008 Chargers) made it with an 8-8 record. The Saints last season, Dolphins in 2016, the Texans and Seahawks in 2015, the Colts from 2014, the 2013 Panthers, the 2008 Vikings and the 2007 Giants are the only others — and, of course, that Giants team won the Super Bowl that season.”"
Sure, there are teams that have made it in the recent past but that doesn’t make it likely. If I sit down at a poker table and someone next to me gets dealt a royal flush, am I more likely to get one because I saw it? No.
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There is a lot of emotion with football and trust me I understand. That is why it is hard for me to be the one that has to tell you if you didn’t know, but if the Titans lose on Sunday they are in dire straights.
If you think that is bad, the Titans could limp into Week 3 with an 0-2 record and play the Jacksonville Jaguars. If they don’t win that game, then 10% odds will look great compared to where they will be then, again according to Oddshark:
"“Yes, it looks like it’s over for the NFL’s 0-3 teams as history hasn’t been kind to slow starters. Going way back to 1980, there have been 168 teams to start a season 0-3, with only five of them going on to make the playoffs — a whopping 2.9 percent. If you’re a fan of one of the 0-3 teams and that 2.9 percent number is giving you hope, it shouldn’t. The last team to start 0-3 and make the playoffs was the 1998 Bills, who followed up their 0-3 start with five straight wins.”"
Maybe the Titans do win this week and they can give themselves a real chance to stay in this season. You could make the case for that:
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-Pamphile and Kelly played fine last week
-Gabbert really should have had two touchdown drives if not for a phantom holding call
-Dion Lewis looks great
-Harold Landry and Rashaan Evans are playing
Those are all great points and if those players play above expectations (or if Mariota just plays the whole game) then the Titans are in this thing for sure.
However, I am only trying to prepare you for what could happen. If the Titans miss Mariota, as well as Conklin, Lewan and Walker then you are missing the four best offensive players the Titans have had over the last three years. That is a hard game to win.