If the Tennessee Titans are going to trade down in the 2018 NFL Draft, these are the deals I expect.
Reports are that the Tennessee Titans really want to trade down in the 2018 NFL Draft. If that is true, then what sort of deal are they looking for.
Something that I don’t think people are talking enough about is that the old trade chart, while handy, may not be the best chart. In fact, Patrick Claybon tweeted out and updated chart that was made by someone:
The dude @PP_Rich_Hill made this trade value chart using all the pick-only trades since 2012 last year.
— Patrick Claybon (@PatrickClaybon) March 17, 2018
Colts got quite a haul pic.twitter.com/niSBh2uGX1
Using the numbers on that sheet, there are four trades that really make sense for the Titans based on how the picks sit right now. Of course, future picks would mess this up, but just using this year’s picks these are the deals to watch for.
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Just a note the Titans pick is worth 229 points so that is what you should compare the values below to.
Cleveland Browns: 35th and 64th=249 points
This pick makes sense because the Browns can “overspend” on this because they have so many picks in this draft. So, giving up a little extra to get their 3rd pick in the top-25 isn’t a big deal, especially if they trade down with Buffalo as some people think they might.
The Titans end up netting two extra second round picks and end up sitting with four picks on Day 2.
New England Patriots: 31th and 94th= 230 points
This is the closest to a perfect match as you are going to find, and it also makes a ton of sense. The New England Patriots are reportedly interested in offensive tackle and quarterback, both positions that could be gone in that five pick span between where they select and where the Titans select.
So, that means that Tennessee would still have a first rounder and have the potential to move back AGAIN or to make a move for their guy.
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New York Giants: 34th and 69th= 245 points
If the Giants stick and pick where they are, they can probably still get “their guy” at QB especially if they are equally high on Darnold/Mayfield/Rosen. So why not grab the most important position in football and let that player develop behind Eli Manning like Pat Mahomes did last year?
Meanwhile, they have to fix that backfield so why not move up and take Guice at 25 before the Steelers and Eagles have a chance at him?
Denver Broncos with some help from Buffalo in a trade down: 40th (Denver’s) and 53rd (Buffalo’s)= 255
So in this scenario the Broncos trade down and land more picks, while the Bills go up to get a QB. However, reports are that the Bills really don’t want to trade both 1st round picks and that they could give up something down the road.
In that case, the Broncos would probably get the 12th pick, the Bills 2nd round pick, and a future 2nd.
After the Broncos take one of the top players left, then why not trade back in to get someone they love at the end of the first? All the talk is that Elway and that coaching staff love Will Hernandez the OG from UTEP, and 25 is about the sweet spot on where he should go.
Elway walks away with let’s say, Lamar Jackson and Will Hernandez as well as a future 2nd round pick and the rest of their draft intact. The Titans on the other hand, get two 2nd round picks and have the ammo to move back up into the top 40 without giving up much.