What has history shown happens to highly drafted wide receivers?
You hear it a lot: don’t draft a wide receiver early. This makes sense right? If the Tennessee Titans were drafting someone in the top-5ish it should be a position like cornerback, quarterback, offensive tackle, or pass rusher historically right? Those are the positions that good teams take.
Well, not exactly.
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There is this misconception that wide receivers that go early don’t hit, but that just isn’t true. Look at wide receivers taken in the top-6 over the last decade:
Amari Cooper (2015)
-2 time Pro Bowler
Sammy Watkins (2014)
-2,000 yards receiving in his first two years.
Mike Evans (2014)
-Pro Bowl, 2nd team All-Pro
Justin Blackmon (2012)
-Was legitimately a stud until his substance abuse issues pushed him out of the NFL.
A.J. Green (2011)
-6 time Pro Bowler, two time 2nd-team All-Pro
Julio Jones (2011)
-4 time Pro Bowler, two time All-Pro
Calvin Johnson (2007)
-6-time Pro Bowler, three time All-Pro, one time 2nd-team All-Pro
Those aren’t just the success stories at the position, that is every single wide receiver taken in the top-6 in the last decade. The Tennessee Titans have added Corey Davis to that list.
Now, am I saying that it is impossible to miss on a wide receiver in the top 6? No. However, I am saying that as far as on the field talent it hasn’t happened in the last decade and it isn’t like Sammy Watkins, Justin Blackmon, Mike Evans (in year one), or A.J. Green had anything special at QB.
Rarely does a team with a quarterback this talented get to land a wide receiver like this. The Tennessee Titans had the opportunity to take any wide receiver or tight end in last year’s draft and they choose Corey Davis (correctly).
If you are assuming that Davis has a high bust potential because of his position, think again. Guys like Eric Fisher, Luke Joekel, etc. who play positions with a much lower “bust potential” are all much bigger question marks than anyone I just listed.
Forget what some talking heads say and look at the facts. Wide receivers going high in the draft over the last decade have done very well for themselves. Some already have an inside track to the Hall of Fame.