The 2016 NFL Draft is mercurial thing, and never more so then right now. The Tennessee Titans made their blockbuster trade this morning completely shaking the already impossible to figure out event.
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However, there are some things that we can assume if the Tennessee Titans do stay at 15 overall, and some things that may not be as clear as we think. Let’s look at some of those things now.
Quarterbacks will go 1st and 2nd overall.
Regardless of who picks there, the L.A. Rams will take one quarterback and someone will move up to draft the other quarterback with the second overall pick. Whether it is Cleveland, San Francisco, Philadelphia, or another team making a move, someone will be taking a quarterback second overall.
Ezekiel Elliott will be gone.
Again, there are a lot of options here and they all make sense. The Dallas Cowboys could take him at four outright putting them behind their outstanding offensive line. Or you could have a team like Philadelphia Eagles or Oakland Raiders who love him and who is a perfect fit snatch him up.
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Laremy Tunsil and Joey Bosa will both be gone, but maybe not as soon as we think.
Jalen Ramsey seems like a lock to San Diego right now. While many people believe that Tunsil is the obvious choice, they just paid their offensive tackles a lot of money and also kicked in D.J. Fluker to guard. Spending any more resources on that offensive line doesn’t really make sense. Dallas and Jacksonville make sense for Bosa, but not for Tunsil and I think Vernon Hargreaves and Myles Jack are also players both will consider.
That leaves a lot of room if the Baltimore Ravens pick one and not the other. Then they could fall to 9, and that would be a prime spot for the Titans to move up for sure.
Myles Jack and Deforest Buckner also should be gone.
They are both “freaks” by all accounts and teams love their versatility, which means that they really don’t stand much of a chance to slip. Unless teams are seriously scared of Jack’s knee or Buckner’s lack of refinement, they could take a tumble but 15 is a long way.
Someone like Vernon Hargreaves or Ronnie Stanley could fall.
Vernon Hargreaves has all of these rumors about failing a drug test at the combine swirling though I haven’t seen anything official. On the other hand, Stanley has had questions about his commitment to the game after some think that he preferred basketball to football for the first two years of his career at Notre Dame.
Both of those things could scare teams away, but if Jon Robinson has confidence in them he has the picks behind him to really cushion himself from criticism if one of them doesn’t pan out.
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The run on tackles should start, but where?
Let’s run through the draft order and see if each team needs a tackle.
1. L.A. Rams- No.
2. Cleveland Browns- No.
3. San Diego Chargers- No, they need to keep their current offensive linemen healthy.
4. Dallas Cowboys- No.
5. Jacksonville Jaguars- I don’t know, but they do already have a lot invested in the tackle position.
6. Baltimore Ravens- Yes.
7. San Francisco 49ers- No. They just got Anthony Davis back.
8. Philadelphia Eagles- No.
9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers- No.
10. New York Giants- Probably.
11. Chicago Bears- Maybe. If they like Long at right tackle, they could decide to draft a guard later in the draft.
12. New Orleans Saints- No.
13. Miami Dolphins- No.
14. Oakland Raiders- No.
15. Tennessee Titans- Yes.
So really, only two teams have a big need at offensive tackle and only two more really should consider it based on what they have done in the past and big needs elsewhere. If there is going to be a run on tackle four-deep that pulls Laremy Tunsil, Ronnie Stanley, Jack Conklin, and Taylor Decker off the board I don’t see where it starts.
Otherwise, could it just be smart for the Titans to sit there and let a tackle fall into their lap provided they are all graded equally.