Simulating NFL Free Agency for the Tennessee Titans
By Will Lomas
The Tennessee Titans have nearly $50 million to spend in free agency this year, meaning they are set to make some big moves. If you wanted to figure out what you would do in that situation, then you are in luck because Fanspeak has made a simulation program that allows you to do just that.
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This sounds like an ad, but I promise it is not. Using the cap data from OTC.com they have a very realistic simulation where you can restructure your players salaries, cut, franchise tag, re-sign, and sign player in free agency. They even let you control the process down to the years and percent guaranteed in the contract.
I encourage you to go make your own offseason, but here is what I did with mine:
Restructure Jason McCourty
I think McCourty can be a top-10 cornerback in the league, especially if he can go against #2 receivers while the team either man’s up or uses double coverage against #1 receivers. However, right now he is set to have a $8.8 million cap hit, which is high for someone who didn’t play last year.
I think that McCourty will be alright with knocking some money off of his contract and the simulation says that a $5.3 million cap hit is something that he should accept. So that ended up putting my cap space at $50.83 million.
Set my board
I didn’t re-sign anyone, so my holes are at:
1. Right Tackle
2. Free Safety
4. Left Guard
5. Nose Tackle
7. Wide Receiver (this is lower because of how terrible the prospects on the market are)
However, the simulation had some of the players re-signing with their old teams before they hit the market:
-Casey Hayward CB got $5.2 million per year
-Stefen Wisniewski C got $7 million per year
-Jaye Howard NT got $5 million per year
-Sean Smith CB got $7.7 million per year
-Janoris Jenkins got $5.3 million per year
So the names I want are:
-Mitchell Schwartz RT
-Andre Smith RT
-Russell Okung LT (and move Lewan to right tackle)
-Tashaun Gipson S
-George Iloka S
-Alex Mack C
-Kelechi Osemele LG
-Marshall Yanda LG
-Jeff Allen LG
-Richie Incognito LG
-Damon Harrison NT
-Nick Fairley NT
-Anquan Boldin WR
-Marvin Jones WR
So, off the bat you may notice that I don’t have any corners on this list, but that is because all of the corners that I thought were worth going after are all gone. So, I added in some bigger names at left guard and right tackle.
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I ended up signing:
Alex Mack for 4 years/$36 million, $27 million guaranteed
Richie Incognito for 2 years/$15 million, $11 million guaranteed
Mitchell Schwartz for 5 years/$40 million, $30 million guaranteed
George Iloka for 4 years/$30 million, $22 million guaranteed
Damon Harrison 5 years/$40 million $30 million guaranteed
So I ended up filling the need for center, left guard, right tackle, free safety, and nose tackle getting guys younger than 30 in three of their need positions and veteran help on the inside of the offensive line.
They will have to address cornerback, wide receiver, and maybe a young running back in the draft. Which to me seems like a best case scenario situation, because it would free them up to draft Jalen Ramsey CB/S, Josh Doctson WR, and a running back like Devontae Booker, Paul Perkins or Alex Collins.
So run your own simulations and figure out what you would do if you were in the Tennessee Titans position this offseason.