The Saints visit the Titans in Week 10, and without Derrick Henry, there’s an interesting prop bet you might want to take a closer look at.
The Tennessee Titans‘ Week 9 victory on the road over the Los Angeles Rams proved it doesn’t always take an All-Pro running back like Derrick Henry to win games.
Granted, Los Angeles did plenty to thwart its own chances, which led to Tennessee’s surprising and one-sided 28-16 victory. But hot teams stay hot, and that’s precisely what the Titans will want to do when they return home to Nissan Stadium to take on the 5-3 New Orleans Saints in Week 10.
The folks over at WynnBET are listing head coach Mike Vrabel’s squad as a three-point favorite, essentially meaning the home-field advantage is the edge here, as home teams are typically awarded three points.
But there might be another prop bet fans could look at when thinking about this Week 10 showdown.
Titans vs. Saints Week 10 prop bet: Adrian Peterson rush yards
Veteran running back Adrian Peterson, signed to help alleviate the loss of Henry to what could be a season-ending foot injury, rushed for only 21 yards on 10 carries against the Rams, averaging a mere 2.1 yards per attempt.
WynnBET’s over/under for Peterson rush yards against New Orleans doesn’t suggest a massive improvement, currently listed at 33.5 with the money going slightly towards the over at -115, while the under is -108.
Vrabel and offensive coordinator Todd Downing went with something of a running back rotation against Los Angeles with Peterson getting his 10 carries, while backups Jeremy McNichols and D’Onta Foreman received seven and five carries, respectively.
Read More: Titans vs. Saints: Week 10 betting odds and game prediction
It’s possible Peterson sees a slight uptick in usage, now having familiarized himself somewhat with the system and hopefully beginning to jell with his lead blockers. If this is the case, one might assume the over would be the smart play.
Arguing against that, though, is the fact the Saints boast the league’s No. 1 rush offense with opponents averaging just 3.2 yards per carry. Of course, considering New Orleans is starting reserve quarterback Trevor Siemian in the wake of losing Jameis Winston to the year with a serious knee injury, any shot of Tennessee getting out to a sizable lead opens up the door for someone like Peterson to receive volume carries.
And the over/under for rush yards doesn’t care about yards per carry.
Betting the over might be a fun play, but that still carries a lot of risk when viewing a stout New Orleans run defense.
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