Taking a closer look at Mike Clay’s Tennessee Titans breakdown

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND - JANUARY 11: Derrick Henry #22 of the Tennessee Titans runs in front of Earl Thomas #29 of the Baltimore Ravens during the AFC Divisional Playoff game at M&T Bank Stadium on January 11, 2020 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Will Newton/Getty Images)
BALTIMORE, MARYLAND - JANUARY 11: Derrick Henry #22 of the Tennessee Titans runs in front of Earl Thomas #29 of the Baltimore Ravens during the AFC Divisional Playoff game at M&T Bank Stadium on January 11, 2020 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Will Newton/Getty Images) /
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(Photo by Harry How/Getty Images)
(Photo by Harry How/Getty Images) /

Joseph better than Gostkowski

So, this one is pretty unbelievable and there is no real dancing around it.

Comparing the stat lines projected for former Titans kicker Greg Joseph and new Titans kicker Stephen Gostkowski, this is what Clay thought the two would do in 2020:

Joseph: 23 of 27 field goals, 38 of 41 PAT

Gostkowski: 22 of 27 field goals,  39 of 42 PAT

I just don’t understand how we got to this point because it is the same number of field goals and only one more PAT attempt, but for some reason, Greg Joseph is expected to make 85% of his field goals while Gostkowski is only supposed to make 81%?

It isn’t a massive difference, but it has been a decade since Gostkowski made 81% of his field goals or less in the NFL so why is Greg Joseph considered more accurate than that?

Even if you look at extra points, Joseph hits less than 90% of his attempts and Gostkowski has hit 98%, and even if you only look at PATs since the kicks got moved back it is still 94%.

This one makes no sense to me.