Taking a closer look at Mike Clay’s Tennessee Titans breakdown

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND - JANUARY 11: Derrick Henry #22 of the Tennessee Titans runs in front of Earl Thomas #29 of the Baltimore Ravens during the AFC Divisional Playoff game at M&T Bank Stadium on January 11, 2020 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Will Newton/Getty Images)
BALTIMORE, MARYLAND - JANUARY 11: Derrick Henry #22 of the Tennessee Titans runs in front of Earl Thomas #29 of the Baltimore Ravens during the AFC Divisional Playoff game at M&T Bank Stadium on January 11, 2020 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Will Newton/Getty Images) /
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(Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images)
(Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images) /

Ryan Tannehill’s stat line

Stop me when you have heard this before, but Mike Clay thinks that Ry-

Oh wow, you got it just from that? Good job.

Yes, Clay thinks that Ryan Tannehill is going to regress from his infamously efficient 2019 campaign just like most other analysts. Honestly, I’m not even saying that he won’t regress, but no one seems to have a good answer on how far he should regress.

In fact, if you ask someone and they have an answer, they will go back to his career average in Miami and spout that out which fundamentally doesn’t make sense. This isn’t necessarily what Clay did, but people seem to be perfectly fine using the worst part of his career in an average, but they refuse to use his best stretch because it is “such a small sample size.”

Still, it seems like a pretty massive drop off to say that Ryan Tannehill will have the exact same amount of touchdowns in 16 games in 2020 as he did in 10 games last season while having nearly twice as many interceptions.