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Derrick Henry is a top two RB in fantasy football regardless of pass volume

By Brady Akins

NASHVILLE, TN - NOVEMBER 24: Derrick Henry #22 of the Tennessee Titans runs the ball during the first half of a game against the Jacksonville Jaguars at Nissan Stadium on November 24, 2019 in Nashville, Tennessee. The Titans defeated the Jaguars 42-20. (Photo by Wesley Hitt/Getty Images)
NASHVILLE, TN - NOVEMBER 24: Derrick Henry #22 of the Tennessee Titans runs the ball during the first half of a game against the Jacksonville Jaguars at Nissan Stadium on November 24, 2019 in Nashville, Tennessee. The Titans defeated the Jaguars 42-20. (Photo by Wesley Hitt/Getty Images) /
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(Photo by Silas Walker/Getty Images)
(Photo by Silas Walker/Getty Images) /

Red zone dominator

At 3.36 yards per carry on all his red zone attempts, Henry averaged higher-efficiency running on his red zone carries than elite running backs like Christian McCaffrey, Ezekiel Elliott, Nick Chubb, and Dalvin Cook. And for all his success in the red zone, Henry was rewarded by the team with plenty of reps.

Once inside the 10-yard line, no player in the NFL got a higher percentage of their team’s carries than Derrick Henry, who rewarded the Titans with a total of 13 rushing touchdowns inside the 20-yard line.

All said, there are two main takeaways from Henry’s 2019 red zone numbers. One, when the Titans get inside the 20, they’re leaning heavily on Derrick Henry. And two, when the Titans lean on Derrick Henry in the red zone, he’s one of the hardest players in the league to stop.

Big play touchdown runs might be a concern for regression, but red zone production on the level that Henry put together is easier to recreate– especially with how many carries Tennessee gave him inside the 20.

Henry could realistically play in 2020 at the same level as he did in 2019, from his touchdown production to his rushing efficiency to his heavy volume. And with how much Henry improved once Ryan Tannehill took over the offense, there’s reason to think that Henry’s per game fantasy production could be consistently around 20 points.

With all of Henry’s elite traits and production together, he could put together a top-two fantasy season for a running back– pass-catching volume or not.

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