“The new normal”
Will Ryan Tannehill be as good as he was in 2019? Probably not considering that he was playing as well as any QB in the NFL during his time as the Titans starter last year.
But, the question also has to be asked, will he be as “bad” as he was in Miami? The answer to that is of course not, and the reason is that Adam Gase (aka the destroyer of QBs and franchises) won’t be there to ruin him.
Let’s take those two extremes and run with it. Taking the 2018 and 2019 seasons and averaging the per game totals, this is what a mix of those two seasons projects for Tannehill in 2020:
2020: 275 completions on 413 attempts (66.7% completion), 3,393 yards, 34 TDs (30 passing, 4 rushing), and 11 INTs (if you want to talk about QB wins then it comes out to a 10-6 record there).
There wasn’t really another option for the Titans considering everything we have talked about, but even if there was the Titans made the right choice. Even if Tannehill regresses to this average, he is still one of the better QBs in the NFL.
In two years Tannehill probably won’t be among the top-12 QBs in the NFL in average salary and even if he was, that is money well spent considering what the Titans looked like before him. This new deal with Mahomes shows that QBs are expensive and regardless of what other teams think, the front office of the Titans has to do what they think is best.
In the same way that Kansas City traded up for a guy that many thought was a project and who probably wasn’t worth what they gave up, the Titans gave a good contract to a player that they believe is the perfect fit in their system.