Too early to tell, but I will take a guess: 5 of 17 times (29.4%)
2019: Miami Dolphins trade Laremy Tunsil to Houston Texans for picks (Noah Igbinoghene, 2021 1st round pick)
2019: Miami Dolphins trade Minkah Fitzpatrick to Pittsburgh Steelers for pick (Austin Jackson)
2019: Jacksonville Jaguars trade Jalen Ramsey to L.A. Rams for picks (K’Lavon Chaisson, 2021 1st round pick)
2020: Minnesota Vikings trade Stefon Diggs to Buffalo Bills for pick (Justin Jefferson)
2020: San Francisco 49ers trade DeForrest Buckner for Indianapolis Colts pick (Javon Kinlaw)
These are too early to tell, but I will give my instant impressions on all five of them.
I don’t know if Miami wins the first trade, but I know that the Texans lost it based off of the state of that OL as a whole and the panic this trade provided that probably ended up being a factor in them trading the best WR in football.
Pittsburgh wins the second trade because Fitzpatrick looks like the guy we expected him to be and they only got a guy who projects to be an average-ish tackle.
The Jaguars traded away Jalen Ramsey who is an elite CB who is 25-year-old and makes their system work. In exchange, they get a player who has tools but no production and a future pick. I don’t like their odds of winning this trade.
Diggs had the best year of his career last year, but the Vikings offense is set up sort of like the Titans offense. They want to run the offense through the running back until you shift focus towards him and then they want to beat you with a WR that can make things happen. I think Diggs/Jefferson probably do this equally well and Diggs wanted to go where he was valued as the WR1 so this is probably a push.
Buckner took a small step back this season, but he is still really young. I think he will be better for the Colts short term and I am also not sure that Kinlaw ever reaches his height, so Colts win this one.