Marcus Mariota O/U: 4,142 total yards
I think we all agree that given what Marcus Mariota had to work with in his first few years with the Tennessee Titans, that he is a franchise QB. He took a team that hadn’t had back to back winning seasons in a decade and achieved that in just his second and third year in the NFL.
Ever since the revolving door stopped spinning at OL and RB (it still hasn’t quite gotten there at WR) he has been really been anywhere from average to great with very little below average play.
So seeing that number surprised me just a little bit. I think in large part it comes off of his poor year last year, but even then he had nearly 3,600 total yards and he missed a game.
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With a new scheme and better talent on both sides of the ball, I think that number will be significantly better. Instead of looking backwards at his peak during the Mike Mularkey years, I looked towards someone that Matt LaFleur had first hand experience with: Jared Goff.
If Goff had played 16 games instead of 15 last year, he would have passed for 4,057 yards. The question is do I think that Marcus Mariota is better than Goff and the answer is absolutely yes.
So if I think that Mariota can be a better passer than Goff, he could probably pass that 4,142 total yardage number with passing alone. However, I think there may be too many mouths to feed in the backfield which could mean that he needs those rushing yards to top the projection.