Accuscore Predicts NFL Week 5: Titans Vs Steelers
"Editors Note: Here at Fansided we’re lucky to be connected with AccuScore. Accuscore runs calculations that offer a profesional-grade betting system using projected lineups, football predictions are then created by simulating each game of the season, one play at a time, up to 10,000 to 20,000 times. In other words, they’re much smarter than me."
So, Accuscore returns with the weekly prediction stating that the Steelers have a 61% chance of winning.
Why? Apparently it’s because of Isaac Redman.
Redman’s predictions running the football–72 rushing yards in winning situations.
Chris Johnson’s? 64 yards in winning situations, 35-40 yards in which the Titans lose.
I’m gloating a little on the inside that this backs up my answer for who would win the game (located here). I mentioned the team that can rush for over 75 yards has the strongest chance of winning.
Here’s the best part:
"The Pittsburgh Steelers has a 33% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 82% of the time."
The Steeler are far behind a positive turnover ratio this season, mostly due to a week 1 fallout against the Ravens. With only a 33% chance of have a positive turnover ratio, then the Titans should have a strong possibility of winning if they take care of the football and are able to run CJ2K.
Oh, and who is Isaac Redman? He is a second year running back for the Steelers out of Bowie State. At 6’0″ and 230 lbs, Redman seems to be a bigger back that could move the pile (I’m speculating but it’s logical). This season, Redman has 22 carries for 107 yards, averaging 4.9 yards per carry. He has also run for 1 touchdown while catching 2 balls for 18 yards.
I guess we’ll see if Seattle inflated some of those numbers or if Redman is the real deal.
Current Steelers starting running back, Rashard Mendenhall, posseses the same body-type but has been hounded recently for “dancing” and not “running straight through the pile”. Mendenhall rushed 58 times for 173 yards so far this season (the line’s not great, but he doesn’t seem to be either). Right now, Mendenhall is questionable for the game but he did practice in full on Friday, after missing the last two sessions with a hamstring injury.
Don’t underestimate Mendenhall, however, he posted almost 1,300 yards last season with a 3.9 average. That was behind a terrible line that wasn’t as terrible as this years version in Pittsburgh. Why don’t they fix that line?